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Changes Coming for Financial Services

Financial market agents are paying close attention to the coming reorganization of the new Congress – for good reason. Changes are coming and they may be big. 

Here’s a link to the Politico analysis of the positions of the two competing Republicans, Reps. Andy Barr and French Hill, who aspire to chair the House Financial Services Committee in the forthcoming Congress. (“Inside the GOP race to lead House Financial Services,” https://www.politico.com/newsletters/morning-money/2024/11/18/inside-the-gop-race-to-lead-house-financial-services-00190081)

Many changes are now possible with a Republican sweep of House, Senate, and White House. And the influence of the Project 2025 plan drafted by the Heritage Foundation has resurfaced in the post-election environment. 

IMO, an attack is coming on the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB). Here’s their website: https://www.consumerfinance.gov/.  

In the new Congress, Senator Elizabeth Warren will be in the Senate minority, and the array of new Senators and the array of new House Members means that she is unlikely to be able to protect this federal agency. 

This agency is likely to have diminished power in the future. It may even be entirely eliminated. 

What replaces it, or whether anything replaces it, is an open question. And there is certainly a spirited debate about its importance and efficacy. 

Either way, change is coming quickly in financial services. 

Details to be determined and revealed as this new political landscape unfolds.

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Behind The Curve?

Today let’s consider why the Fed should always operate “behind the curve” (where there is data to rely on). 

It is important to note that the yield curve is not inverted anymore. I’m ignoring the very short-term interest rates, which are now projected to fall two full percentage points over the Fed’s “dot plot” projection period. I’m looking at the range from 2 years to 30 years in the yield on US Treasury obligations, whether notes or bonds.

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Claudia, Danny, Michael, The U7 & Me.

First, the Kotok Rule is “Admit you don’t know when you don’t know.” Stop the publishing alarmist predictions about a coming catastrophe. All those who predict turmoil and outrageous attention-getting outcomes are simply guessing. Nostradamus was NOT a financial or economic analyst. 

Readers’ Turn: Climate & Project 2025

Readers replied to our two-part series about Project 2025 and its impact on climate mitigation and the environment. Not a single reader emailed with a positive statement about the Heritage Foundation or about Project 2025. None defended this radicalized version from what used to be a conservative think tank.

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