Is America’s Climate Mitigation Policy Dead?
Climate change mitigation in America was officially reversed on February 12, 2026. The Trump-Vought-Zeldin policy is officially announced. There are known & unknown consequences. One of them could be a killer.
Widening Middle East War
No one can forecast the outcome in the short term. Guess? Yes. Multiple scenarios? Yes. Forecast with confidence? No! But there is history for guidance.
The Coming RFK Jr. Health Recession: Part 3
In this update, we survey the implications of RFK Jr.’s leadership in US public health.
Middle East War – Quick Take 1
A regional war that includes existential risks is underway. Outcomes evolve. All predictions are problematic.
Is It a Market Correction or a Reallocation?
We ask if recent market volatility was a broad market correction or a reallocation within and among asset classes. Or is something else driving volatility because of disruption (AI, tariffs, wars, federal deficits)?
Help Save an Accredited University from a Political Attack
FL Gov DeSantis is trying to take the USF Sarasota-Manatee campus and transfer it to New College. IMO, this would be a disaster for the Sarasota-Manatee community and the state.
Donroe Doctrine Part 3 – A Possible Bullish Outcome of the Maduro Affair
Trump’s Venezuela actions have lessened the Maduro threat to oil production in various South American countries. The outcome has possible bullish scenarios for oil.
Coffee, Fishing, & ICE
Fishing trips start with morning coffee, so we pass on info from JAMA before discussing a recent fishing trip. ICE is last.
Strong Dollar?
Treasury Secretary Bessent favors a “strong dollar.” He works for a president who has said he wants a weaker dollar. With a single chart, we examine what markets are saying.
Trying to Forecast the Price of Gold?
We examine some statistical evidence that may be helpful in estimating the future price of gold using a present set of variables.