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Insights and Reflections

David Kotok offers insights and analysis on current economic and political issues and their potential impact on global financial markets. David’s articles and financial market commentaries have appeared in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, and other publications. He is a frequent contributor to Bloomberg TV, and Bloomberg Radio, Fox Business, and other media.

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Stagflation Hits the K

Stagflation Hits the K

Slowing growth and higher prices equal “stagflation,” the worst of all possible economic worlds for policymakers (the Fed) and for those persons in the bottom leg of the K.

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Widening Middle East War

Widening Middle East War

No one can forecast the outcome in the short term. Guess? Yes. Multiple scenarios? Yes. Forecast with confidence? No! But there is history for guidance.

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Strong Dollar?

Strong Dollar?

Treasury Secretary Bessent favors a “strong dollar.” He works for a president who has said he wants a weaker dollar. With a single chart, we examine what markets are saying.

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Doing the Twist

Doing the Twist

These are the moves: More short-term T-bills. Shorten US Treasury debt maturity. Try to force interest rates lower.

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