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Insights and Reflections

David Kotok offers insights and analysis on current economic and political issues and their potential impact on global financial markets. David’s articles and financial market commentaries have appeared in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, and other publications. He is a frequent contributor to Bloomberg TV, and Bloomberg Radio, Fox Business, and other media.

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Secondary Tariffs — Do They Work?

There’s a big difference between secondary tariffs and reciprocal tariffs. Their purpose and intention are different, and the outcomes may be different, too. Secondary tariffs are a form of economic warfare, like direct sanctions.

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Real CDC or Snake-Oil CDC?

Real CDC or Snake-Oil CDC?

In January 2025, a website styled as realcdc.org went live. It was an imitation CDC website right down to the graphics, but the information was different — on vaccines and autism, for example.

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Ukraine and Florida

Ukraine and Florida

This morning, we consider the blur of developments surrounding peace negotiations in Ukraine, their impacts on the Ukrainian-American community in Florida and Ukrainian refugees across the US, and possible outcomes. What will Putin agree to, and can he be trusted?

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Shoot-Out!

Hundreds of millions of people witnessed the recent shoot-out in the Oval Office. Among them, in the room, was a reporter from Russian media. Here are some takeaways.

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Bird Flu, The Rat & The Flea

As H5N1 bird flu spreads across mammals and has now reached rats, we are reminded of Chapter 7 in our new book, The Fed and the Flu: Parsing Pandemic Economic Shocks. That chapter focuses on the Plague of Justinian in the Eastern Roman Empire, where plague (caused by the Yersinia pestis bacterium) spread with the range of infected oriental rat fleas.

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